Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.278745 3.829730 4.460815 5.240634 6.183135 7.291442 8.702183
2025-01-26 2.590812 3.331444 4.281018 5.604049 7.425660 9.883980 13.518903
2025-02-02 2.202582 3.013769 4.133603 5.825412 8.375282 12.172975 18.449082
2025-02-09 1.953260 2.808848 4.062727 6.087930 9.382230 14.724836 24.472155
2025-02-16 1.726866 2.586119 3.908888 6.168291 10.090590 16.941271 30.594685
2025-02-23 1.556410 2.415257 3.796139 6.276098 10.844072 19.390680 37.915338
2025-03-02 1.388835 2.221019 3.609459 6.213151 11.264074 21.310435 44.811558
2025-03-09 1.279210 2.105539 3.534285 6.328985 12.035392 24.104741 54.635126
2025-03-16 1.161334 1.959161 3.381539 6.267532 12.431676 26.203604 63.611076
2025-03-23 1.065938 1.840073 3.260500 6.244359 12.898719 28.579743 74.286479
2025-03-30 0.971452 1.711089 3.103010 6.118509 13.108986 30.399544 84.198312
2025-04-06 0.915447 1.647441 3.062837 6.233001 13.899339 33.904864 100.902356
2025-04-13 0.826555 1.520669 2.900932 6.101592 14.194365 36.557183 117.708422
2025-04-20 0.795584 1.506446 2.972913 6.533680 16.092707 44.658838 160.678603
2025-04-27 0.753566 1.463134 2.974842 6.798458 17.631605 52.416464 209.547295
2025-05-04 0.719214 1.430712 2.994743 7.112703 19.423575 61.943069 276.580131
2025-05-11 0.673815 1.368239 2.936024 7.208981 20.595722 69.921193 345.479076
2025-05-18 0.635227 1.315773 2.892579 7.338199 21.928323 79.313071 435.406119
2025-05-25 0.589409 1.241267 2.784756 7.262743 22.553914 86.197628 519.836754
2025-06-01 0.559258 1.199403 2.751897 7.401614 24.003316 97.712316 658.092583
2025-06-08 0.521902 1.136141 2.655512 7.327930 24.647218 105.895246 785.786843
2025-06-15 0.490218 1.083041 2.578435 7.300150 25.475618 115.679460 950.425993
2025-06-22 0.456431 1.021181 2.469852 7.149336 25.763603 122.846945 1106.766837